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Flaw Practice – Mayors

Identify the flaw in the argument: “This town has a long history of electing male mayors. Thus, since Mr. Huang is the only male candidate for this year’s mayoral election, he will win.”

Answer

This is a temporal flaw.  Just because something has always been one way, that doesn’t mean it will stay that way forever.  So, you cannot use premises that are only about the past to prove definitively a conclusion about the present or the future.

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