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Matt Shinners’s 2013 December LSAT Predictions

I’m just now recovering from my turkey-induced coma (and Wild Turkey-induced hangover), and that can only mean one thing: It’s time to make some 2013 December LSAT predictions!

Let’s peek inside the closet to see what crazy presents the LSAT is hiding for this holiday season.

2013 December LSAT Prediction I: Logic Games

The October 2013 LSAT featured a killer game (movie theater scheduling) and three standard games. This seems to be an emerging trend for the LSAT – moderately difficult games, with a really hard one thrown in.

I’d expect that trend to continue. Look for one game to have a complex combination of elements not usually seen together, or to feature complex rules. Expect the other three to be easy to set up, but have a few hard questions thrown in. And expect one of the two easier games to feature an absolutely killer rule replacement question (but don’t forget to check each answer against your elimination answer to quickly get through it).

Crazy Prediction: Menu items

2013 December LSAT Prediction II: Logical Reasoning

We’ve had a number of pretty standard LR sections recently. We’re also coming off of an LSAT with a hard game and a killer first passage.

So I’m predicting that we’ll see comments about a more difficult LR section than normal.

This usually means that there will be several questions where there are two or three answers that all seem right (hint: they’re not). They’ll turn on a small trick – a single word that makes all the difference. Expect some convoluted language (think trillions-of-humans-in-space difficult) and some tricky prompts.

But, at the same time, expect large number of questions with the standard difficulty. They can’t make them all hard!

Crazy Prediction: Board games

2013 December LSAT Prediction III: Reading Comprehension

Two (three?) words for 2013 October: Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease. Ouch.

The last LSAT started off with a killer Reading Comp passage. It was a science passage. It featured words that no one can pronounce. It was long. It was dense.

It was hard.

Additionally, the comparative passage was no walk in the park. Together, these made for a killer section.

So you can all breathe a sigh of relief. I’m expecting this to be a standard RC section. Nothing too easy. Nothing too hard. Expect it to be unremarkable.

Crazy prediction: 19th-century politics

2013 December LSAT Prediction IV: The LSAT Curve

RC and LG sections create the biggest swings in points. If you misunderstand an LR stimulus, you get a question wrong; do the same for a passage or game and you lose 5+ points.

With easier RC and LG sections, I expect the December LSAT curve to be both less forgiving and tighter.

Let’s call it -10 for a 170; -26 for a 160; and -39 for a 152.

2013 December LSAT Prediction V: Specific Predictions

2013 December LSAT Logic Games:

• Menu items
• One extremely hard question per game
• A “completely determined if” question

2013 December LSAT Logical Reasoning:

• Board games
• A “flaws” question
• Fewer logical force keywords (“most”, “some”); more words that hint at logical force (“independent”, “irrelevant”)

2013 December LSAT:

• “Boss” Tweed
• An arts passage
• Strengthen questions